Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.216710 0.251061 0.289086 0.334303 0.386618 0.445258 0.516008
2025-08-03 0.161961 0.207712 0.263670 0.337169 0.431236 0.547710 0.703096
2025-08-10 0.130087 0.178983 0.243056 0.333211 0.456947 0.621084 0.855865
2025-08-17 0.106294 0.154868 0.222198 0.322407 0.468012 0.672322 0.981691
2025-08-24 0.093986 0.143905 0.216551 0.330069 0.503373 0.758701 1.164919
2025-08-31 0.082780 0.132498 0.208068 0.331413 0.528236 0.831140 1.334858
2025-09-07 0.074470 0.124121 0.202645 0.336010 0.557590 0.912448 1.526918
2025-09-14 0.065339 0.113054 0.191335 0.329269 0.567160 0.962432 1.672990
2025-09-21 0.058426 0.104695 0.183254 0.326523 0.582409 1.022494 1.841844
2025-09-28 0.053507 0.099100 0.179057 0.329693 0.607764 1.101825 2.052648
2025-10-05 0.051203 0.097858 0.182236 0.346191 0.658501 1.230849 2.367622
2025-10-12 0.048369 0.095248 0.182552 0.357265 0.700177 1.347428 2.672208
2025-10-19 0.045539 0.092394 0.182245 0.367425 0.741908 1.469901 3.005404
2025-10-26 0.042142 0.088022 0.178543 0.370520 0.770205 1.569799 3.306392
2025-11-02 0.038351 0.082368 0.171616 0.366170 0.782686 1.639224 3.552510
2025-11-09 0.034277 0.075618 0.161673 0.354294 0.777908 1.672446 3.725443
2025-11-16 0.032487 0.073562 0.161274 0.362717 0.817457 1.802794 4.124497
2025-11-23 0.030277 0.070306 0.157916 0.364194 0.841759 1.902662 4.466882
2025-11-30 0.028557 0.067950 0.156256 0.369247 0.874583 2.024647 4.873918
2025-12-07 0.026092 0.063570 0.149552 0.361837 0.877598 2.079200 5.128315
2025-12-14 0.024167 0.060254 0.144933 0.358819 0.890637 2.158271 5.450992
2025-12-21 0.022827 0.058210 0.143088 0.362304 0.919845 2.278793 5.890286
2025-12-28 0.022451 0.058530 0.146972 0.380438 0.987559 2.500138 6.611134